Millonarios vs Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
SFE
1 - 0
MIL
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
MIL
2 - 0
AME
66%
21%
14%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2011 |
EQU
1 - 2
MIL
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
MIL
1 - 0
ENV
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 2
MIL
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
JUN
2 - 0
CAL
54%
24%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CHI
3 - 0
JUN
32%
29%
39%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2011 |
JUN
4 - 3
IND
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ONC
1 - 2
JUN
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
JUN
2 - 2
CUC
73%
18%
10%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |