Copa Colombia . Quarter-finals
Global 4-4
Millonarios vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
6.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2013 |
MIL
0 - 0
SFE
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 3
MIL
25%
26%
49%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
MIL
33%
28%
38%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
MIL
3 - 2
HUI
73%
17%
9%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2013 |
CUC
0 - 1
MIL
23%
26%
51%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 1
AME
37%
29%
34%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 3
MIL
25%
26%
49%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
COR
1 - 1
FOR
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
AFC
2 - 2
FOR
37%
28%
36%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
TFC
1 - 1
FOR
25%
29%
46%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |