Millonarios vs La Equidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2014 |
MIL
0 - 0
JUN
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
JUN
0 - 0
MIL
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
MIL
1 - 1
EQU
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2014 |
EQU
0 - 1
MIL
31%
28%
41%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
MIL
3 - 1
TOL
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
MIL
1 - 1
EQU
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2014 |
EQU
0 - 1
MIL
31%
28%
41%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 0
EQU
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
EQU
2 - 1
IND
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
PAT
1 - 2
EQU
34%
30%
37%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |