Millonarios vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
24.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
SFE
1 - 1
MIL
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2009 |
MIL
0 - 1
CHI
47%
27%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
MIL
0 - 1
ACA
67%
21%
12%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 0
MIL
35%
28%
37%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2009 |
MIL
1 - 0
CAL
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
ENV
1 - 0
TOL
35%
28%
38%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
ENV
3 - 2
JUN
29%
29%
42%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
QUI
0 - 1
ENV
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
ENV
1 - 0
ONC
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
AME
4 - 0
ENV
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |