Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
PAT
1 - 3
MIL
27%
29%
44%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
MIL
1 - 1
LLA
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2019 |
MIL
1 - 0
CUC
55%
24%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
ALI
0 - 2
MIL
31%
27%
41%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2019 |
MIL
3 - 2
IND
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2019 |
TOL
0 - 0
PAS
55%
26%
20%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2019 |
ATP
1 - 0
TOL
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
TOL
2 - 2
JWI
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
EQU
0 - 0
TOL
29%
27%
45%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
TOL
2 - 1
NAC
34%
29%
37%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |