Millonarios vs Defensor Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.1%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
MIL
0 - 0
SAO
31%
28%
40%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1974 |
MIL
2 - 1
VAL
86%
9%
5%
|
76 | 34 | 42 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1974 |
MIL
2 - 1
POR
65%
18%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1974 |
MIL
2 - 1
NAC
57%
20%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1974 |
VAL
1 - 1
MIL
24%
21%
55%
|
75 | 34 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1974 |
DEF
0 - 1
SAO
8%
21%
71%
|
38 | 87 | 49 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1974 |
DEF
1 - 0
UCO
33%
26%
41%
|
37 | 75 | 38 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1974 |
DEF
2 - 1
NAC
25%
22%
53%
|
36 | 76 | 40 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1974 |
SPC
0 - 2
DEF
82%
11%
6%
|
33 | 74 | 41 | +3 |
| 27 Feb. 1974 |
NAC
0 - 0
DEF
84%
10%
6%
|
33 | 74 | 41 | 0 |