Millonarios vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 0
MIL
30%
27%
43%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
MIL
0 - 1
EQU
64%
22%
14%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
ENV
1 - 2
MIL
27%
27%
46%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
MIL
3 - 1
ONC
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2013 |
CAL
4 - 2
MIL
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
5 - 1
ALI
64%
22%
14%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2014 |
CAL
0 - 3
NAC
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
CAL
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 1
IND
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 1
NAC
42%
27%
31%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -3 |