Millbrook vs Stoneham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.5%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
80.2%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
6.5%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
17.4%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
4.1%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
12%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
2.1%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0.1%
-5
6.9%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
1%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
3.4%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millbrook
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
STO
1 - 1
MLB
77%
13%
10%
|
9 | 42 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
TAD
2 - 3
MLB
72%
15%
12%
|
7 | 23 | 16 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
MLB
0 - 4
OLD
27%
21%
52%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
OLD
6 - 0
MLB
51%
20%
29%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
MLB
1 - 3
ILF
23%
21%
56%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Stoneham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
STO
1 - 1
MLB
77%
13%
10%
|
42 | 9 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
STO
33%
22%
45%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
STO
0 - 2
ASC
75%
14%
11%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
STO
3 - 1
AFC
69%
17%
15%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
HYD
0 - 5
STO
6%
12%
82%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | -1 |