Milazzo vs Modica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milazzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
FCR
1 - 0
MIL
41%
25%
34%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
MIL
1 - 0
VIG
61%
22%
17%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
USC
1 - 2
MIL
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
MIL
1 - 0
TRA
36%
26%
38%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
SPC
0 - 1
MIL
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Modica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
MOD
0 - 2
GSM
49%
25%
26%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
NIS
3 - 0
MOD
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
MOD
3 - 2
ACA
49%
26%
26%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
AVE
4 - 0
MOD
80%
15%
6%
|
34 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
MOD
0 - 2
FCR
46%
25%
29%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |