Milan vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
15.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
ACM
3 - 0
UDI
47%
26%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
PAR
4 - 0
ACM
54%
25%
22%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
ACM
1 - 0
LAZ
40%
27%
34%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
BAR
0 - 0
ACM
29%
27%
44%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1998 |
ACM
1 - 1
LAZ
39%
28%
34%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
VIC
1 - 1
INT
29%
27%
44%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
EMP
1 - 0
VIC
37%
28%
35%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
SAM
0 - 0
VIC
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
VIC
0 - 4
BOL
44%
27%
30%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1998 |
VIC
0 - 1
UDI
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |