Milan vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.3%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2006 |
ACM
1 - 0
PAL
80%
14%
6%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
SIE
0 - 3
ACM
14%
23%
63%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2006 |
ACM
1 - 0
ASC
82%
13%
5%
|
93 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
ROM
1 - 0
ACM
27%
25%
48%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
BRE
3 - 4
ACM
16%
26%
59%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2006 |
UDI
1 - 1
SAM
57%
25%
19%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
REG
2 - 1
SAM
38%
29%
33%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2006 |
SAM
3 - 1
FIO
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
LEC
0 - 3
SAM
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
SAM
2 - 1
CAG
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |