Milan vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.4%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
10%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10%
5.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
NOV
1 - 1
ACM
32%
24%
44%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
ACM
2 - 1
UDI
86%
9%
5%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
ACM
1 - 2
ROM
84%
10%
6%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
ACM
6 - 1
SPA
84%
10%
6%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1954 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ACM
33%
24%
43%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
SAM
0 - 0
SPA
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
TOR
2 - 0
SAM
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
LAZ
3 - 0
SAM
57%
22%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
SAM
2 - 2
BOL
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1954 |
FIO
2 - 0
SAM
54%
23%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |