Milan vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2002 |
ANC
1 - 1
ACM
25%
24%
50%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
EMP
1 - 1
ACM
26%
26%
48%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2002 |
ACM
1 - 0
RMA
40%
25%
35%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
ACM
1 - 0
INT
47%
24%
29%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
ACM
2 - 1
PAR
61%
21%
18%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
TRI
1 - 1
ROM
22%
25%
53%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
ROM
2 - 2
JUV
44%
26%
30%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2002 |
ROM
1 - 3
ARS
42%
26%
32%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
PAR
3 - 0
ROM
34%
27%
40%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
ROM
2 - 2
INT
47%
24%
29%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |