Europa League . Last 16
Global 1-1
Milan vs Roda JC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
VNZ
1 - 4
ACM
25%
27%
48%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2002 |
RJC
0 - 1
ACM
27%
27%
46%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
ACM
0 - 0
ATL
69%
18%
12%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
ACM
1 - 1
PRG
70%
18%
12%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
JUV
1 - 1
ACM
62%
22%
17%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
RJC
2 - 0
WIL
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2002 |
RJC
0 - 1
ACM
27%
27%
46%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
GRA
2 - 1
RJC
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
RJC
1 - 0
UTR
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
FEY
5 - 0
RJC
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |