Milan vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
GEN
1 - 0
ACM
28%
25%
48%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
UDI
2 - 3
ACM
29%
25%
47%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ACM
3 - 2
PAL
64%
22%
14%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
INT
1 - 0
ACM
38%
25%
37%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
MAN
2 - 3
ACM
8%
18%
75%
|
88 | 45 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
WAR
0 - 2
NAP
23%
24%
54%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
NAP
2 - 1
JUV
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 0
NAP
15%
22%
63%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
NAP
5 - 0
LAZ
61%
21%
18%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2015 |
NAP
5 - 0
BRU
65%
19%
17%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |