Milan vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
SPA
1 - 1
ACM
17%
24%
59%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
ACM
2 - 0
SAM
76%
15%
9%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1965 |
ACM
1 - 0
STR
78%
14%
8%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
BRE
0 - 3
ACM
19%
25%
56%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
ACM
1 - 0
USF
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
NAP
1 - 0
BRE
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
BOL
0 - 1
NAP
75%
16%
9%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
JUV
0 - 0
NAP
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
NAP
3 - 0
CAT
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1965 |
NAP
4 - 2
SPA
50%
27%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |