Milan vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
18.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1938 |
TOR
0 - 0
ACM
67%
19%
15%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1938 |
ACM
5 - 1
BAR
62%
19%
19%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1938 |
ACL
1 - 1
ACM
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1938 |
JUV
2 - 0
ACM
70%
18%
13%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1938 |
ACM
0 - 1
BOL
53%
24%
24%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1938 |
NAP
2 - 2
ROM
38%
25%
36%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1938 |
TRI
3 - 0
NAP
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1938 |
NAP
1 - 1
BOL
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1938 |
NAP
1 - 1
TOR
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1938 |
BAR
3 - 1
NAP
43%
24%
32%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |