Champions League . Last 16
Global 2-0
Milan vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
ATL
1 - 2
ACM
15%
28%
58%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
INT
0 - 1
ACM
48%
26%
26%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
MUD
0 - 1
ACM
58%
24%
18%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
ACM
1 - 0
CAG
81%
13%
6%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
REG
0 - 1
ACM
17%
28%
55%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
CRY
0 - 0
MUD
11%
22%
67%
|
94 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
MUD
2 - 1
OPA
80%
14%
6%
|
94 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
MUD
0 - 1
ACM
58%
24%
18%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
EVE
0 - 2
MUD
21%
26%
53%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
MAC
0 - 2
MUD
20%
25%
56%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |