Milan vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
11.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1974 |
ACM
0 - 0
NAP
73%
18%
9%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1974 |
ACM
2 - 0
MON
48%
23%
29%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1974 |
VER
2 - 1
ACM
17%
25%
58%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
FIO
3 - 2
ACM
35%
27%
38%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1974 |
ACM
1 - 1
BOL
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1974 |
LAZ
4 - 2
VER
67%
21%
12%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1974 |
NAP
3 - 3
LAZ
47%
29%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
ROM
1 - 2
LAZ
43%
30%
28%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1974 |
JUV
3 - 0
LAZ
79%
14%
7%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1974 |
LAZ
2 - 0
CAG
56%
25%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |