Milan vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
11.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1955 |
ACM
0 - 0
VIC
86%
10%
5%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1955 |
GEN
3 - 1
ACM
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1955 |
ACM
3 - 4
SAA
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 47 | 41 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1955 |
ACM
2 - 0
SPA
86%
10%
5%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1955 |
TRI
1 - 3
ACM
19%
21%
61%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1955 |
NOV
1 - 1
FIO
39%
24%
37%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1955 |
FIO
2 - 0
TOR
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1955 |
VIC
1 - 1
FIO
36%
26%
39%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1955 |
FIO
4 - 1
ATL
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
BOL
0 - 2
FIO
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |