Milan vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
6.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
REG
0 - 1
ACM
17%
28%
55%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
ACM
2 - 1
LAZ
71%
18%
11%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
MES
1 - 4
ACM
18%
28%
54%
|
93 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
ACM
0 - 1
BOL
81%
13%
6%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
ACM
3 - 2
UDI
72%
18%
11%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
BRE
2 - 0
CAG
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
CAG
3 - 1
LEC
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
SIE
2 - 2
CAG
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
CAG
1 - 0
FIO
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2005 |
CAG
2 - 0
SAM
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |