Milan vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
FCC
1 - 3
ACM
24%
27%
49%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
ACM
2 - 1
VER
76%
16%
8%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
TOR
0 - 3
ACM
52%
24%
24%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
PRG
1 - 1
ACM
35%
27%
38%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
ACM
0 - 1
NAP
65%
22%
13%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
BOL
1 - 1
TOR
37%
31%
32%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
NAP
2 - 1
BOL
65%
23%
13%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
BOL
2 - 1
LAZ
46%
28%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
BOL
1 - 0
VER
62%
23%
15%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
FCC
0 - 0
BOL
56%
26%
18%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |