Milan vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
30.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2021 |
CAG
0 - 2
ACM
18%
23%
60%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
ACM
0 - 0
TOR
74%
16%
10%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
ACM
2 - 0
TOR
74%
16%
10%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
ACM
1 - 3
JUV
39%
25%
37%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 2
ACM
19%
23%
59%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
UDI
1 - 1
ATL
13%
19%
68%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 0
GEN
83%
12%
6%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2021 |
ATL
3 - 1
CAG
84%
11%
5%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 4
ATL
16%
20%
65%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
ATL
3 - 0
PAR
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |