Milan vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
11.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
ROM
1 - 2
ACM
36%
27%
37%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1995 |
ACM
4 - 0
ZAL
71%
20%
9%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
ACM
2 - 1
UDI
64%
22%
14%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1995 |
PES
1 - 4
ACM
23%
28%
49%
|
91 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1995 |
PAD
1 - 2
ACM
21%
27%
53%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
ATL
1 - 3
NAP
37%
27%
36%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
ROM
0 - 1
ATL
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1995 |
ATL
2 - 2
USC
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1995 |
ATL
1 - 1
PAR
31%
29%
41%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1995 |
ATL
2 - 1
SAL
67%
21%
13%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |