Milan vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.7%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
10%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10%
5.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
NAP
1 - 5
ACM
18%
22%
59%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1962 |
ULU
0 - 6
ACM
29%
23%
48%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
ACM
3 - 3
VNZ
88%
8%
4%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1962 |
ACM
8 - 0
ULU
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1962 |
PAR
0 - 1
ACM
19%
22%
59%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
JUV
2 - 3
ATL
78%
13%
8%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
ATL
1 - 1
SAM
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1962 |
ATL
2 - 1
CAT
62%
21%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1962 |
COM
2 - 4
ATL
41%
26%
34%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1962 |
FIO
0 - 1
ATL
78%
14%
8%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | +1 |