UCL Group H Round 1

Milan vs AEK Athens analysis

Milan AEK Athens
95 ELO 82
3.3% Tilt 0.7%
10º General ELO ranking 473º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
81.8%
Milan
13.4%
Draw
4.8%
AEK Athens

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.8%
Win probability
Milan
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.3%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
4.8%
Win probability
AEK Athens
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Milan
-2%
+1%
AEK Athens

ELO progression

Milan
AEK Athens
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Milan
Milan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Sep. 2006
ACM
Milan
2 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
72%
18%
11%
95 87 8 0
22 Aug. 2006
CRV
Crvena Zvezda
1 - 2
Milan
ACM
18%
25%
57%
94 80 14 +1
09 Aug. 2006
ACM
Milan
1 - 0
Crvena Zvezda
CRV
82%
13%
5%
94 77 17 0
14 May. 2006
ACM
Milan
2 - 1
Roma
ROM
67%
19%
14%
94 89 5 0
07 May. 2006
PAR
Parma
2 - 3
Milan
ACM
17%
25%
58%
94 84 10 0

Matches

AEK Athens
AEK Athens
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 2006
ATR
Atromitos
1 - 1
AEK Athens
AEK
11%
23%
66%
83 45 38 0
27 Aug. 2006
OFI
OFI
1 - 1
AEK Athens
AEK
28%
27%
45%
83 73 10 0
23 Aug. 2006
AEK
AEK Athens
3 - 0
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
51%
26%
23%
83 82 1 0
19 Aug. 2006
AEK
AEK Athens
0 - 0
PAOK
PAO
47%
26%
28%
83 83 0 0
09 Aug. 2006
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
1 - 2
AEK Athens
AEK
49%
26%
25%
82 83 1 +1