Milan U19 vs Genoa U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MIL
4 - 0
ATA
77%
14%
9%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
MIL
2 - 1
RBS
22%
21%
58%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 0
MIL
20%
22%
59%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
DZA
1 - 2
MIL
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MIL
1 - 4
ROM
58%
20%
22%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Genoa U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SPA
0 - 5
GEN
36%
25%
39%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GEN
2 - 0
REG
86%
10%
4%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PUB
0 - 6
GEN
23%
22%
56%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
GEN
2 - 1
VIR
54%
23%
23%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GEN
2 - 0
PAD
44%
24%
32%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |