Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 2-4
Mika vs Helsingborgs IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
51.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
HEL
3 - 1
MIK
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
PYU
3 - 0
MIK
56%
24%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
MIK
2 - 1
KIL
78%
16%
6%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
BAN
1 - 2
MIK
56%
24%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
ULI
1 - 2
MIK
39%
29%
32%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Helsingborgs IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
DJU
2 - 1
HEL
26%
25%
50%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
HEL
3 - 1
MIK
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
SYR
1 - 3
HEL
17%
19%
64%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
KAL
2 - 0
HEL
44%
24%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2009 |
HEL
3 - 1
ORG
76%
16%
8%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |