Premier League 2 Division Two Normal Season Round 12

Middlesbrough U21 vs Sunderland U21 analysis

Middlesbrough U21 Sunderland U21
41 ELO 40
1.2% Tilt 5%
6694º General ELO ranking 4275º
248º Country ELO ranking 123º
ELO win probability
42.7%
Middlesbrough U21
24.5%
Draw
32.8%
Sunderland U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
Middlesbrough U21
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
32.8%
Win probability
Sunderland U21
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Middlesbrough U21
-5%
-7%
Sunderland U21

Points and table prediction

Middlesbrough U21
Their league position
Sunderland U21
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
20
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Leeds United U21
43
43
100%
Southampton U21
42
42
100%
Nottingham Forest U21
41
41
100%
West Bromwich U21
35
35
100%
Aston Villa U21
33
33
100%
Norwich City U21
30
30
100%
Middlesbrough U21
26
26
100%
Newcastle U21
23
23
100%
Sunderland U21
20
20
100%
Stoke City U21
10º
14
14
10º
100%
Derby County U21
11º
1
1
11º
100%
Expected probabilities
Middlesbrough U21
Sunderland U21
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Middlesbrough U21
Sunderland U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Middlesbrough U21
Middlesbrough U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Sep. 2022
MID
Middlesbrough U21
1 - 3
Norwich City U21
NOR
17%
21%
63%
40 53 13 0
26 Aug. 2022
MID
Middlesbrough U21
4 - 1
Stoke City U21
STC
55%
21%
24%
39 37 2 +1
22 Aug. 2022
NOT
Nottingham Forest U21
1 - 4
Middlesbrough U21
MID
40%
22%
38%
37 34 3 +2
12 Aug. 2022
MID
Middlesbrough U21
3 - 1
Derby County U21
DCO
64%
18%
18%
37 31 6 0
05 Aug. 2022
AVI
Aston Villa U21
3 - 3
Middlesbrough U21
MID
66%
19%
14%
36 44 8 +1

Matches

Sunderland U21
Sunderland U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Aug. 2022
SUN
Sunderland U21
3 - 3
West Bromwich U21
WBA
56%
22%
22%
41 38 3 0
21 Aug. 2022
DCO
Derby County U21
0 - 4
Sunderland U21
SUN
25%
21%
54%
40 30 10 +1
15 Aug. 2022
SUN
Sunderland U21
0 - 4
Aston Villa U21
AVI
41%
24%
35%
42 44 2 -2
05 Aug. 2022
NOR
Norwich City U21
3 - 2
Sunderland U21
SUN
72%
18%
11%
43 52 9 -1
08 Nov. 2017
GRI
Grimsby Town
1 - 1
Sunderland U21
SUN
67%
20%
14%
42 55 13 +1