Middlesbrough U21 vs Southampton U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
54.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
7º
7º
42
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2023 |
SUN
5 - 7
MID
50%
20%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SOU
8 - 1
MID
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MID
2 - 4
LUS
22%
22%
55%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
WBA
5 - 2
MID
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
MID
1 - 1
NWC
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
SOU
4 - 1
NWC
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
SOU
3 - 0
DCO
86%
10%
4%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
SUN
1 - 3
SOU
29%
24%
48%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SOU
8 - 1
MID
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
NWC
3 - 2
SOU
29%
24%
47%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |