Middlesbrough U21 vs Aston Villa U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
44%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
7º
7º
33
2º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
NOR
2 - 2
MID
75%
16%
10%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
STC
1 - 2
MID
26%
20%
55%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
MID
2 - 4
WBA
40%
24%
36%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
MID
2 - 2
SOU
24%
23%
54%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2023 |
SUN
5 - 7
MID
50%
21%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aston Villa U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
AVI
6 - 4
SUN
62%
21%
18%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
LUS
2 - 1
AVI
54%
22%
24%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
AVI
1 - 0
STC
77%
15%
8%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
WBA
0 - 4
AVI
47%
23%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +2 |
| 09 Jan. 2023 |
NWC
0 - 2
AVI
42%
24%
34%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +2 |