Premier League Round 11

Middlesbrough vs Preston North End analysis

Middlesbrough Preston North End
77 ELO 79
-3.7% Tilt -8%
615º General ELO ranking 981º
24º Country ELO ranking 35º
ELO win probability
38.9%
Middlesbrough
24.9%
Draw
36.2%
Preston North End

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
Middlesbrough
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
36.2%
Win probability
Preston North End
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Middlesbrough
-1%
-4%
Preston North End

ELO progression

Middlesbrough
Preston North End
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Nov. 1904
NEW
Newcastle
3 - 0
Middlesbrough
MID
63%
21%
16%
78 83 5 0
29 Oct. 1904
MID
Middlesbrough
0 - 1
Sheffield United
SHE
33%
26%
42%
78 83 5 0
22 Oct. 1904
NOT
Notts County
0 - 0
Middlesbrough
MID
42%
23%
34%
78 76 2 0
15 Oct. 1904
MID
Middlesbrough
0 - 1
Manchester City
MAC
29%
25%
47%
78 85 7 0
08 Oct. 1904
BIR
Birmingham City
2 - 1
Middlesbrough
MID
63%
20%
17%
79 79 0 -1

Matches

Preston North End
Preston North End
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Nov. 1904
STO
Stoke City
1 - 1
Preston North End
PNE
63%
20%
17%
79 79 0 0
29 Oct. 1904
PNE
Preston North End
1 - 0
Newcastle
NEW
36%
26%
38%
79 84 5 0
22 Oct. 1904
SHE
Sheffield United
1 - 0
Preston North End
PNE
66%
20%
15%
79 83 4 0
15 Oct. 1904
PNE
Preston North End
3 - 1
Notts County
NOT
59%
22%
19%
78 77 1 +1
08 Oct. 1904
MAC
Manchester City
6 - 1
Preston North End
PNE
71%
18%
12%
79 85 6 -1