Premier League Round 4

Middlesbrough vs Manchester City analysis

Middlesbrough Manchester City
84 ELO 83
6.4% Tilt 12.4%
615º General ELO ranking 13º
24º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
55.2%
Middlesbrough
22.4%
Draw
22.4%
Manchester City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
Middlesbrough
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22.4%
Win probability
Manchester City
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Middlesbrough
-2%
-1%
Manchester City

ELO progression

Middlesbrough
Manchester City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Sep. 1922
HUR
Huddersfield Town
0 - 2
Middlesbrough
MID
43%
25%
32%
83 81 2 0
28 Aug. 1922
MAC
Manchester City
2 - 1
Middlesbrough
MID
52%
22%
26%
83 84 1 0
26 Aug. 1922
MID
Middlesbrough
2 - 2
Huddersfield Town
HUR
60%
21%
19%
83 81 2 0
06 May. 1922
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
4 - 2
Middlesbrough
MID
57%
21%
22%
83 84 1 0
01 May. 1922
HUR
Huddersfield Town
2 - 1
Middlesbrough
MID
41%
25%
34%
83 80 3 0

Matches

Manchester City
Manchester City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Sep. 1922
MAC
Manchester City
3 - 3
Sheffield United
SHE
59%
21%
20%
84 81 3 0
28 Aug. 1922
MAC
Manchester City
2 - 1
Middlesbrough
MID
52%
22%
26%
84 83 1 0
26 Aug. 1922
SHE
Sheffield United
2 - 0
Manchester City
MAC
43%
26%
31%
84 80 4 0
06 May. 1922
MAC
Manchester City
1 - 0
Newcastle
NEW
61%
22%
17%
83 84 1 +1
29 Apr. 1922
NEW
Newcastle
5 - 1
Manchester City
MAC
51%
25%
25%
84 84 0 -1