EFL Cup . Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Middlesbrough vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
39.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1998 |
MID
1 - 0
BRA
81%
13%
6%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1998 |
BIR
1 - 1
MID
32%
29%
39%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1998 |
MID
3 - 0
TRA
80%
14%
6%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1998 |
STO
1 - 2
MID
22%
28%
50%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1998 |
LIV
2 - 1
MID
75%
17%
9%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1998 |
SHW
3 - 3
LIV
33%
27%
41%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1998 |
LIV
2 - 3
SOU
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1998 |
LIV
0 - 0
BBU
64%
21%
15%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1998 |
LIV
2 - 1
MID
75%
17%
9%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1998 |
LIV
1 - 0
NEW
63%
21%
16%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |