Championship Round 31

Middlesbrough vs Bury analysis

Middlesbrough Bury
67 ELO 67
6.5% Tilt 21.4%
616º General ELO ranking 3434º
24º Country ELO ranking 90º
ELO win probability
64.3%
Middlesbrough
20.2%
Draw
15.5%
Bury

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
Middlesbrough
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15.5%
Win probability
Bury
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Middlesbrough
-3%
-4%
Bury

ELO progression

Middlesbrough
Bury
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Mar. 1963
SCU
Scunthorpe United
1 - 1
Middlesbrough
MID
47%
22%
31%
67 68 1 0
25 Mar. 1963
LUT
Luton Town
4 - 3
Middlesbrough
MID
43%
24%
33%
68 60 8 -1
23 Mar. 1963
MID
Middlesbrough
1 - 2
Southampton
SOU
61%
20%
19%
68 67 1 0
09 Mar. 1963
MID
Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Chelsea
CHL
46%
23%
31%
68 77 9 0
02 Mar. 1963
SWA
Swansea City
1 - 1
Middlesbrough
MID
51%
23%
27%
68 66 2 0

Matches

Bury
Bury
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Apr. 1963
BCF
Bury
2 - 0
Portsmouth
OPA
59%
21%
20%
66 63 3 0
30 Mar. 1963
BCF
Bury
1 - 1
Huddersfield Town
HUR
51%
23%
26%
66 70 4 0
27 Mar. 1963
BIR
Birmingham City
3 - 2
Bury
BCF
78%
13%
10%
67 79 12 -1
23 Mar. 1963
CAR
Cardiff City
3 - 1
Bury
BCF
63%
20%
17%
67 73 6 0
19 Mar. 1963
BCF
Bury
0 - 5
Rotherham United
ROT
64%
20%
16%
69 62 7 -2