Middlesbrough vs Burton Albion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
16%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
14%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
QPR
2 - 1
MID
28%
27%
45%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
MID
1 - 1
BBU
47%
28%
26%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
MID
0 - 3
ASV
45%
28%
26%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
PNE
1 - 1
MID
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
BRE
1 - 2
MID
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Burton Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
FLE
1 - 0
BUR
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
BUR
2 - 1
STF
36%
28%
37%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
BUR
1 - 2
CHA
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
BPO
3 - 0
BUR
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
BUR
1 - 0
COV
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |