Premier League Round 42

Middlesbrough vs Bristol City analysis

Middlesbrough Bristol City
85 ELO 80
-24.2% Tilt -9.8%
615º General ELO ranking 752º
24º Country ELO ranking 29º
ELO win probability
58.3%
Middlesbrough
24.8%
Draw
17%
Bristol City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
Middlesbrough
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
16.9%
Win probability
Bristol City
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Middlesbrough
-1%
-3%
Bristol City

ELO progression

Middlesbrough
Bristol City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 May. 1977
ARS
Arsenal
1 - 1
Middlesbrough
MID
54%
25%
21%
85 86 1 0
29 Apr. 1977
MID
Middlesbrough
1 - 1
West Ham
WHU
51%
26%
23%
86 81 5 -1
26 Apr. 1977
MID
Middlesbrough
3 - 0
Manchester United
MUD
34%
28%
39%
85 88 3 +1
23 Apr. 1977
IPS
Ipswich Town
0 - 1
Middlesbrough
MID
66%
20%
14%
85 89 4 0
16 Apr. 1977
MID
Middlesbrough
0 - 2
Queens Park Rangers
QPR
41%
28%
31%
85 86 1 0

Matches

Bristol City
Bristol City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 May. 1977
BRI
Bristol City
1 - 0
Leeds United
LEE
30%
28%
42%
79 88 9 0
07 May. 1977
BRI
Bristol City
1 - 1
Manchester United
MUD
28%
27%
46%
79 88 9 0
30 Apr. 1977
LEE
Leeds United
2 - 0
Bristol City
BRI
73%
18%
9%
80 88 8 -1
26 Apr. 1977
QPR
Queens Park Rangers
0 - 1
Bristol City
BRI
71%
19%
11%
79 87 8 +1
20 Apr. 1977
STO
Stoke City
2 - 2
Bristol City
BRI
61%
23%
16%
79 85 6 0