Mictlán vs Sacachispas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 1
CON
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
CON
5 - 0
PET
57%
23%
21%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
COB
4 - 3
CON
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
TOR
5 - 1
CON
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
CON
1 - 1
TOR
45%
25%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sacachispas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
SAC
1 - 0
IZA
68%
19%
14%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
SAC
1 - 1
DEP
29%
25%
46%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 2
SAC
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
SAC
1 - 1
TEC
36%
25%
39%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
DEP
2 - 1
SAC
74%
17%
10%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |