Mictlán vs Heredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
UNI
3 - 1
CON
49%
25%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CON
0 - 2
COM
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 1
CON
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CON
2 - 1
TOR
42%
29%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
LEO
5 - 1
CON
52%
23%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
HER
5 - 0
HAL
54%
24%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ESC
2 - 0
HER
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
HER
4 - 2
VEN
55%
24%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
MUN
1 - 3
HER
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 2
HER
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |