Mictlán vs Carchá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
26%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
CON
2 - 1
DEP
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
LEO
0 - 0
CON
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CON
0 - 0
COB
42%
29%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
COM
4 - 0
CON
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
CON
1 - 0
CHI
42%
29%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 0
COB
35%
30%
35%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
COM
1 - 0
CAR
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 0
CHI
32%
29%
39%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
GUA
4 - 0
CAR
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 0
DEP
26%
26%
48%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |