NASL - Autumn Round 19

Miami FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies analysis

Miami FC Tampa Bay Rowdies
60 ELO 59
-1.6% Tilt 0.5%
5461º General ELO ranking 2569º
96º Country ELO ranking 44º
ELO win probability
47.1%
Miami FC
26.8%
Draw
26.1%
Tampa Bay Rowdies

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
Miami FC
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.1%
Win probability
Tampa Bay Rowdies
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Miami FC
-51%
-47%
Tampa Bay Rowdies

ELO progression

Miami FC
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Miami FC
Miami FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Oct. 2016
MIA
Miami FC
0 - 1
Rayo OKC
RAY
54%
26%
20%
61 57 4 0
02 Oct. 2016
TAM
Tampa Bay Rowdies
1 - 1
Miami FC
MIA
46%
26%
27%
61 59 2 0
29 Sep. 2016
MIA
Miami FC
2 - 1
Ottawa Fury
OTT
44%
28%
28%
60 62 2 +1
24 Sep. 2016
MIA
Miami FC
0 - 1
Puerto Rico FC
PTR
56%
25%
19%
61 56 5 -1
18 Sep. 2016
IND
Indy Eleven
2 - 1
Miami FC
MIA
47%
26%
27%
61 60 1 0

Matches

Tampa Bay Rowdies
Tampa Bay Rowdies
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Oct. 2016
EDM
Edmonton
1 - 0
Tampa Bay Rowdies
TAM
49%
26%
25%
59 63 4 0
06 Oct. 2016
TAM
Tampa Bay Rowdies
2 - 2
Minnesota United
MIN
41%
26%
34%
59 61 2 0
02 Oct. 2016
TAM
Tampa Bay Rowdies
1 - 1
Miami FC
MIA
46%
26%
27%
59 61 2 0
25 Sep. 2016
FOR
Fort Lauderdale Strikers
1 - 4
Tampa Bay Rowdies
TAM
49%
26%
25%
58 60 2 +1
18 Sep. 2016
TAM
Tampa Bay Rowdies
1 - 0
North Carolina
CAR
46%
25%
29%
58 58 0 0