Mezzolara vs Bagnolese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
36.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ASS
3 - 2
MEZ
44%
26%
30%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
MEZ
3 - 1
FOR
46%
26%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
FIO
0 - 2
MEZ
47%
25%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +3 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
MEZ
0 - 2
FSD
55%
24%
21%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
USR
2 - 5
MEZ
25%
27%
48%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Bagnolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
TUT
1 - 1
BAG
40%
25%
36%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
BAG
1 - 0
ASS
54%
23%
24%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
BAG
1 - 0
PON
40%
25%
36%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
BOR
3 - 3
BAG
54%
24%
22%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
BAG
1 - 1
VIR
50%
24%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |