Toluca Sub 20 vs Puebla Sub 20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
MEX
2 - 1
PAC
37%
26%
37%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
ASL
1 - 2
MEX
26%
26%
49%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
TIG
0 - 0
MEX
38%
28%
34%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
MEX
0 - 1
ATL
46%
26%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
CAZ
0 - 3
MEX
41%
29%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Puebla Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
PUE
0 - 5
ATL
36%
26%
38%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
PUE
3 - 2
TIG
37%
25%
39%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
LEO
2 - 1
PUE
48%
23%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
PUE
3 - 2
NEC
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
QUE
0 - 1
PUE
35%
25%
41%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |