Toluca Sub 20 vs Necaxa Sub 20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
CAZ
1 - 0
MEX
35%
27%
38%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
MEX
3 - 0
ATL
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
MEX
3 - 2
LEO
42%
26%
33%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 1
MEX
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 0
MEX
47%
25%
28%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Necaxa Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
NEC
2 - 2
LEO
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 2
NEC
66%
19%
14%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
NEC
0 - 1
TIJ
40%
24%
36%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
VER
2 - 1
NEC
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
TIG
4 - 0
NEC
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |