Metz vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
BAS
1 - 0
MET
51%
27%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
MET
1 - 3
MON
32%
25%
43%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
MET
1 - 0
SED
57%
23%
19%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
REN
0 - 1
MET
53%
25%
22%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2000 |
MET
1 - 0
STR
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
TRO
1 - 1
SED
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
REN
0 - 2
TRO
65%
21%
15%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
TRO
0 - 1
STR
40%
26%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
LIL
1 - 2
TRO
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2000 |
TRO
5 - 3
PSG
26%
27%
48%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |