Metz vs FC Rouen 1899 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1985 |
SOC
1 - 1
MET
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1985 |
MET
4 - 1
LEN
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1985 |
MAR
2 - 1
MET
42%
26%
33%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1985 |
AUX
2 - 0
MET
55%
23%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1985 |
MET
1 - 1
TOU
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Rouen 1899
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1985 |
FCR
1 - 2
AUX
28%
30%
42%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1985 |
TOU
2 - 0
FCR
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1985 |
FCR
1 - 1
BAS
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1985 |
GIR
2 - 0
FCR
80%
13%
7%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1985 |
FCR
0 - 1
PSG
34%
29%
38%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |