Metz vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
43.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1957 |
MET
1 - 2
MAR
46%
24%
31%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1957 |
LYO
2 - 0
MET
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1957 |
NIC
6 - 2
MET
62%
20%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
ANG
0 - 3
MET
58%
20%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 May. 1957 |
SED
3 - 2
MET
60%
20%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1957 |
LEN
4 - 4
LYO
68%
17%
15%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1957 |
NÎM
2 - 3
LEN
39%
23%
38%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1957 |
LEN
3 - 1
TFC
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
LEN
2 - 0
RAC
55%
21%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1957 |
NIC
3 - 2
LEN
42%
23%
35%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |