Metz vs Creteil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
16.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2006 |
BRE
0 - 1
MET
31%
29%
40%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2006 |
MET
1 - 0
FCL
65%
23%
12%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
REI
2 - 0
MET
28%
30%
42%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2006 |
MET
3 - 0
IST
59%
25%
17%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2006 |
FCG
0 - 1
MET
29%
30%
41%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2006 |
LHA
2 - 1
LUS
50%
28%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2006 |
LUS
0 - 0
FCG
51%
26%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
LUS
1 - 3
CHA
45%
26%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2006 |
TOU
1 - 1
LUS
43%
28%
28%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2006 |
LUS
0 - 0
GUI
39%
28%
34%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |