Metz vs Bourg-Péronnas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
11.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
4 - 1
MET
24%
27%
49%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
MET
3 - 1
AMI
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 0
MET
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
FRE
1 - 1
MET
30%
27%
43%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
MET
2 - 0
SPI
58%
24%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Bourg-Péronnas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
BOU
0 - 0
VAN
28%
27%
45%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
USB
1 - 0
BOU
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
BOU
2 - 1
CHE
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
ORL
0 - 1
BOU
56%
25%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
BOU
1 - 1
CAB
53%
24%
22%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |