Metz U19s vs Pagny Sur Moselle Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
10%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+214%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
5º
14º
9º
23
5º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 36 |
6º
|
51% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
75% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
75% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
75% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
51% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz U19s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
SOC
1 - 1
MET
54%
23%
24%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MET
3 - 0
BBP
63%
18%
19%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CLE
2 - 1
MET
49%
23%
28%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MET
2 - 0
BOB
40%
22%
38%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ORL
0 - 1
MET
51%
23%
26%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Pagny Sur Moselle Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
PAG
0 - 1
STR
17%
18%
65%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SOC
1 - 2
PAG
75%
15%
11%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PAG
1 - 1
DIJ
20%
20%
60%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
PAG
1 - 1
TRO
13%
17%
70%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
PAG
1 - 2
BBP
21%
20%
59%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |